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Climate and Health
We are very active in the area of climate and health in trying to model extremes in climate and the way these translate into the health field, using innovative approaches. For example, temperature extremes such as heatwaves and their resulting impact on human mortality, is one of these successful areas. A main focus of our research has also been centered on modeling climate-driven infectious diseases (e.g. from water-borne diseases such as cholera, rotavirus, adenovirus, to vector-borne diseases such as malaria, cutaneous leishmaniasis, yellow fever, Rift Valley fever and dengue), for both endemic regions and in epidemic situations worldwide (such as the fringe areas of deserts and highlands, which are very important in assessing the effects of climate variability). We have also recently launched two new areas of research: one devoted to modeling airborne diseases and their possible links to large-scale atmospheric circulations patterns, while a second area of interest is the development of new IBM-ABM platforms used to study the spatial dynamics of disease propagation.
Research Themes
Privately funded projects
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Lowe R., Barcellos C., Coelho C. A. S., Bailey T. C., Coelho E. G., Jupp T., Graham R., Massa Ramalho W., Sá Carvalho M., Stephenson D. B., Rodó X (2014). Dengue outlook for the World Cup in Brazil: an early warning model framework driven by real-time seasonal climate forecasts. Lancet Infectious Diseases, doi: 10.1016/S1473-3099(14)70781-9. (22-05-2014)
Dommar C. J., Lowe R, Robinson M, Rodó X., 2014. An agent-based model driven by tropical rainfall to understand the spatio-temporal heterogeneity of a chikungunya outbreak, Acta Tropica, doi: 10.1016/j.actatropica.2013.08.004. (02-01-2014)
Barcellos C., and Lowe R., 2014. Expansion of dengue transmission area in Brazil: The role of climate and cities. Tropical Medicine & International Health, doi: 10.1111/tmi.12227. (02-01-2014)
Lowe R., Chirombo J. Tompkins A. M. 2013. Relative importance of climatic, geographic and socio-economic determinants of malaria in Malawi, Malaria Journal, 12:416. doi: 10.1186/1475-2875-12-416. (02-01-2014)
Jaenisch T, IDAMS, Sakuntabhai A, DENFREE, Wilder-Smith A, et al. (2013). Dengue Research Funded by the European Commission-Scientific Strategies of Three European Dengue Research Consortia. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 7(12): e2320. doi:10.1371/journal.pntd.0002320. 1-10. (03-12-2013)
Cash, B.A., X. Rodó, J. Ballester, M.J. Bouma, R. Dhiman and M. Pascual (2013).Malaria epidemics highlight influence of the Tropical South Atlantic on the Indian monsoons. Nature Climate Change, 3, 502-507. (01-12-2013)
Rodó, X., M. Pascual, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, A. Gershunov, D.A. Stone, F. Giorgi, P. J. Hudson, J. Kinter, M.-À. Rodríguez-Arias, N.Ch. Stenseth, D. Alonso, J. Garcia, A. P. Dobson (2013) Climate Change and Infectious diseases: Can we meet the needs for better prediction? Climate Change, 118:625–640. (01-12-2013)
Ballester, J. Burns, J., Cayan, D., Uehara, R., Nakamura, Y., and Rodó, X. (2013) Kawasaki disease and El Niño-Southern Oscillation. Geophys. Res. Lett. doi: 10.1002/grl.50388. (01-12-2013)
Cayan, D., Bainto, E. , Herzog, L., Fabri, O., Uehara, R., Burgner, D., Ballester, J., Rodó, X., Burns, J., Tyree, M., Paolini, J. And the international Kawasaki Disease Climate Consortium. (2013) An apparent seasonal cycle in the occurrence of Kawasaki Disease over the Globe. Proc. Int. Kawasaki Disease Symposium, Kyoto, Japan. (01-12-2013)
Tanja Wolf, Klea Katsouyanni, Antonis Analitis, Afif Ben Salah, Elsa Casimiro, Sadok Chlif, Daniela D’Ippoliti, Bettina Menne, Paola Michelozzi, X. Rodó, and M.A. Rodriguez-Arias (2013). Chapter 13 Health in: Regional Assessment of Climate Change in the Mediterranean: Volume 2: Agriculture, Forests and Ecosystem Services and People, A. Navarra and L. Tubiana (eds.), Advances in Global Change Research 51, DOI 10.1007/978-94-007-5772-1_13, © Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2013 (01-12-2013)
Jane Burns; Lauren Herzog, Olivia Fabri; Adriana Tremoulet; Xavier Rodó; Ritei Uehara; David Burgner; Emelia Bainto; Mary Tyree; Daniel Cayan (2013) Seasonality of Kawasaki disease: A global perspective. PLoS ONE, 8(9): e74529. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0074529 (01-12-2013)
Díaz, J., Ballester, F., Basagaña, X., Grimalt, J., Iñiguez, C., Linares, C., Miron, I., Montero, JC., Ordoñez, JM., Ortega, I., Rodó, X., Simon, F., and Tobias, A. (2013). Temperaturas extremas. In: ‘Impactos del Cambio Climático en la Salud’, Ed: Observatorio de Salud y Cambio Climático. @ MSSSI, Secretaria General Técnica Centro de Publicaciones, Madrid, pp.37-66. (01-12-2013)
Estrada-Peña, A., López-Velez, R., Lucientes, J., Molina, R., Roche, J., Rodó, X., Sánchez, L., and Amela, C. (2013). Enfermedades Vectoriales. In: ‘Impactos del Cambio Climático en la Salud’, Ed: Observatorio de Salud y Cambio Climático. @ MSSSI, Secretaria General Técnica Centro de Publicaciones, Madrid, pp.179-228. (01-12-2013)
Jaenisch T, IDAMS, Sakuntabhai A, DENFREE, Wilder-Smith A, et al. (2013). Dengue Research Funded by the European Commission-Scientific Strategies of Three European Dengue Research Consortia. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 7(12): e2320. doi:10.1371/journal.pntd.0002320. 1-10. (01-12-2013)
Cash B, Rodó X, Ballester J, Bouma M, Baeza A, Dhiman R, Pascual M. (2013) Malaria epidemics and the influence of the Tropical South Atlantic on the Indian monsoons. Nature Climate Change 3, 502-507. doi: 10.1038/nclimate1834 (19-03-2013)
Stewart-Ibarra A.M & Lowe R. Climate and non-climate drivers of dengue epidemics in southern coastal Ecuador. Am J Trop Med Hyg 2013 88:971-981, doi: 10.4269/ajtmh.12-0478. (11-03-2013)
Lowe, R., Bailey, T.C., Stephenson, D.B., Jupp, T.E., Graham, R.J., Barcellos, C. and Carvalho, M.S. (2012). The development of an early warning system for climate-sensitive disease risk with a focus on dengue epidemics in Southeast Brazil. Stat. Med. DOI: 10.1002/sim.5549 (24-08-2012)
Rodó, X., Ballester, J., Cayan, D., Melish, M.E., Nakamura, Y., Uehara, R. and Burns, J. (2011). Association of kawasaki disease with tropospheric wind patterns. Nature Scientific Reports, 1:152. DOI: 10.1038/srep00152 (10-11-2011)
Cash, B., Rodó, X., Kinter III, J. L. and Yunus, Md. (2010). Disentangling the impact of ENSO and Indian Ocean variability on the regional climate of Bangladesh: Implications for cholera risk. Journal of Climate, 23, 10: 2817–2831. doi: 10.1175/2009JCLI2512.1 (01-05-2010)
Cash, B.A., Rodo, X., Kinter III, J. L. (2009) Links between Tropical Pacific SST and Cholera Incidence in Bangladesh: Role of the Western Tropical and Central Extratropical Pacific. Journal of Climate, 22, 7, 1641-1660. DOI:10.1175/2008JCLI2177.1 (01-04-2009)
Cash, B. A., Rodó, X. and Kinter III, J. L (2008). Links between tropical Pacific SST and the regional climate of Bangladesh: Role of the eastern and central tropical Pacific. Journal of Climate, 21, 18: 4647-4663. DOI: 10.1175/2007JCLI2001.1 (15-09-2008)
Project partners
Network collaboration
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