Enhancing prediction of tropical Atlantic climate and its impacts (PREFACE),

Budget: 266569

PREFACE Objectives are:
  • - To reduce uncertainties in our knowledge of the functioning of Tropical Atlantic climate, particularly of climate-related ocean processes (including stratification) and dynamics, coupled ocean, atmosphere, and land interactions; and internal and externally forced climate variability.

  • - To better understand the impact of model systematic error and its reduction on seasonal-to-decadal climate predictions and on climate change projections.

  • - To improve the simulation and prediction of Tropical Atlantic climate on seasonal, and longer time scales, and contribute to better quantification of climate change impacts in the region.

  • - To improve understanding of the cumulative effects of the multiple stressors of climate variability, greenhouse gas induced climate change (including warming and deoxygenation), and fisheries on marine ecosystems, functional diversity, and ecosystem services (e.g., Fisheries) in the Tropical Atlantic.

  • - To assess the socio-economic vulnerabilities and evaluate the resilience of the welfare of West African fishing communities to climate-driven ecosystem shifts and global markets.
PREFACE is a bold and ambitious project that targets one of the regions that will be more affected by climate change and its consequences. The project will provide the first comprehensive assessment of the Tropical Atlantic climate, from observations to predicting its socio-economic impacts. This is expected to lead to a number of high impact results for this region:
  • - Improved understanding of variability in the Eastern Boundary Upwelling regions and the Gulf of Guinea

  • - Improved climate modelling and prediction capabilities;

  • - Better understanding of the function of marine ecosystem so that socio-economic impacts can be better predicted;

  • - Enhance cooperation between European and African researchers working on Tropical Atlantic climate and its impacts, by fostering existing collaborations and improving project synergy.

Starting date: 01/11/2013
Final date at IC3: 01/09/2015

Funding source: Seventh Framework Programme (2007-2013)